Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002417 0.002571 0.002736 0.002926 0.003140 0.003376 0.003657
2024-10-27 0.002168 0.002376 0.002611 0.002899 0.003248 0.003662 0.004204
2024-11-03 0.001909 0.002131 0.002389 0.002718 0.003136 0.003661 0.004397
2024-11-10 0.001809 0.002055 0.002352 0.002744 0.003268 0.003969 0.005038
2024-11-17 0.001740 0.002006 0.002337 0.002792 0.003426 0.004331 0.005834
2024-11-24 0.001654 0.001929 0.002277 0.002769 0.003481 0.004547 0.006458
2024-12-01 0.001610 0.001900 0.002275 0.002821 0.003645 0.004954 0.007530
2024-12-08 0.001550 0.001845 0.002233 0.002811 0.003710 0.005209 0.008409
2024-12-15 0.001485 0.001779 0.002171 0.002764 0.003711 0.005350 0.009103
2024-12-22 0.001460 0.001765 0.002179 0.002821 0.003885 0.005837 0.010851
2024-12-29 0.001434 0.001747 0.002179 0.002864 0.004041 0.006325 0.012952
2025-01-05 0.001385 0.001695 0.002127 0.002821 0.004038 0.006484 0.014186
2025-01-12 0.001318 0.001618 0.002038 0.002718 0.003926 0.006409 0.014667
2025-01-19 0.001282 0.001583 0.002009 0.002711 0.003991 0.006757 0.017201
2025-01-26 0.001209 0.001493 0.001894 0.002556 0.003761 0.006362 0.016151
2025-02-02 0.001189 0.001476 0.001889 0.002582 0.003883 0.006856 0.020065
2025-02-09 0.001174 0.001467 0.001894 0.002625 0.004047 0.007514 0.026760
2025-02-16 0.001144 0.001436 0.001864 0.002605 0.004076 0.007818 0.032278
2025-02-23 0.001133 0.001430 0.001872 0.002653 0.004255 0.008639 0.049047
2025-03-02 0.001109 0.001405 0.001849 0.002643 0.004308 0.009085 0.067958
2025-03-09 0.001080 0.001371 0.001810 0.002601 0.004281 0.009251 0.086005
2025-03-16 0.001072 0.001369 0.001821 0.002652 0.004480 0.010352 0.244518
2025-03-23 0.001061 0.001362 0.001826 0.002692 0.004657 0.011504 NaN